VOL. I · NO. 119 · standardpoorly.comTHU · MAY 28 · 2026FORWARD HORIZON · 1 d / 1 wk / 1 mo / 3 mo
STANDARD Poorly
"All the correlations that are barely fit to print"
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lifestyleSP-0007

BetterHelp · App Store rank Δ

Day-over-day change in BetterHelp's U.S. App Store rank. A spike means abnormally many people downloaded a therapy app yesterday.

the verdict —
At the 21d horizon, this signal hits in the predicted direction 51% of fires. Status: in sample. n = 412. Bullish on the underlying when fired.

Current state

Latest value

What it has historically predicted

On days when this signal fires, SPY has historically moved in the same direction as the signal 72% of the time over the next trading week.

58%
1 d
72%
1 wk
51%
1 mo
49%
3 mo

Beyond SPY — how this signal performs across markets

Same fire days, different forward returns. Each row asks: when this signal fires, what does that asset do? The big number is the average return; underneath is how often the asset moved the same direction as the signal (50% would be a coin flip).

target
1 d
1 wk
1 mo
3 mo
6 mo
1 yr
SPY
S&P 500 ETF
n=412
58% same direction
72% same direction
51% same direction
49% same direction
shaded cell = each row's strongest horizon (green = bullish forward return, red = bearish)“same direction” means the asset moved the same way the signal moved — opposite of a coin flip.