StandardPoorly
— The Standard Poorly Dispatch —

Timely market signals others don't publish. Plus the occasional Poorly-proven correlation we tripped over.

When the data warrants it. Usually weekly. Hit rates across our standard horizons, honest about sample size, and clearly labeled when we're surfacing something for fun rather than alpha.

— SUBSCRIBE — FREE FOREVER —

Email goes in. Two minutes of statistical honesty comes out, when the data warrants it.

· no ads· no spam· no premium upsell on the morning email· unsubscribe in one click
§01

What you'll get

Real signals

Market reads we think matter and other publications miss — typically the indicator that fired hardest this week with enough sample to mean something.

Honest framing

Hit rates across our standard horizons (1 wk / 1 mo / 3 mo / 1 yr), with explicit notes on sample size, multiple-testing, and what would invalidate the claim.

The occasional "Poorly"

When we find a "Poorly"-proven correlation worth surfacing — pork futures and McRib launches were the start — we send it. Labeled clearly so nobody confuses entertainment for alpha.

§02

A sample issue

SUBJECT: BetterHelp surged. The market may shrug. — No. 119

Yesterday's reading: BetterHelp's U.S. App Store rank jumped 40 places — the largest single-day move since 2021. Historically, fires of this magnitude have been followed by a positive SPY return at the 5-day horizon 72% of the time (n=14, p=0.018).

The asterisk: 14 fires is not a lot. The 1-day, 21-day, and 63-day horizons all sit within a coin-flip of 50%. The 5-day result is the only horizon that “looks good,” which is precisely the kind of pattern multiple testing produces by accident.

Bottom line: This is not investment advice. We are publishing a historical pattern with caveats, not a recommendation. Trade at your own risk, and never with size you can't afford to lose. Reread the methodology page before you treat any single cell on this site as actionable.

— Standard Poorly

§03

Past issues

  1. No. 119WED · APR 29 · 2026BetterHelp surged. The market may shrug.read →
  2. No. 118TUE · APR 28 · 2026The McRib correlation refuses to die.read →
  3. No. 117MON · APR 27 · 2026Mortgage-search intent fell off a cliff. So did our confidence.read →
  4. No. 116FRI · APR 24 · 2026A weather station in Toledo predicts the VIX. Probably not.read →
  5. No. 115THU · APR 23 · 2026GameStop searches are back, and we owe you a correction.read →
  6. No. 114WED · APR 22 · 2026On the rare honest signal: ONS retail sales, 21d horizon.read →
archive · sample preview · real archive opens once the dispatch ships