— Pricing · three tiers · founder access —

Read for free. Analyze from $15.83/mo. Trade from $65.83/mo.

The Almanac is free forever — every indicator, every pundit's open positions, the top-60 cofire preview. Analyst gives you the tools to do your own research around your watchlist — full closed-position ledger with receipts, host attribution, market-state overlay. Trader adds real-time quotes, unlimited AI data chat backed by a live research engine, and compound alert rules for quants. Programmatic API + MCP server ship as a separate product (coming soon). Single-seat by design — referral program rewards anyone who brings in another subscriber.

Almanac

$0free forever

Read the whole publication. Every indicator, every signal, every pundit’s open positions + headline performance.

658 indicators · daily refresh
Bestie Buys + every pundit scorecard
1 standard cut per indicator
SPY cross-asset only
Top 60 cofire previews

Start reading

Most popular · founder pricing

Analyst

Waitlist · opens early June 2026

$15.83/mo

billed annually · $190/yr · save $38/yr

Or $19/mo if billed monthly

→ $35/mo once founder seats fill

Launch founder pricing — first 100 subscribers. Annual + monthly rates both locked for 24 months from signup. Standard $35/mo after.

Stop tab-hopping between Bloomberg, ChatGPT, and a spreadsheet. Ask plain-English questions, build the backtest yourself, and get a text when your setup actually fires.

Everything in Almanac, plus:
Skip the spreadsheet trip — ask plain-English questions and get answers from our whole dataset in seconds. "Which watchlist names co-fired this week?" "What's the Chamath book down on year-to-date?" Gemini-powered, 100 queries/mo.
See if YOUR rules would have made money — Build Your Own Backtest. Swap conviction rubrics, sizing, and hold windows; the engine reruns 6 years of history against your config and shows the equity curve.
Stop guessing if a signal works on Gold or BTC the way it works on SPY. Custom horizons (1–504 trading days, not just 6 canonical cells) + adjustable σ thresholds + the full 8-target cross-asset matrix.
Find the second-derivative trades — all ~2,035 RELIABLE cofire pairs (vs the top 60 you see free) + market-state filters + 3-way triplet patterns from AutoResearch. When X fires AND Y co-fires in low-VIX regime, here's what SPY did next.
Never miss your setup again. Watchlists for the tickers you actually care about + email/webhook alerts the moment their signals fire + 50 SMS/mo for the ones you don't want to miss.
Bring the data into your own workflow — CSV downloads for spreadsheet work, slice into Excel/Sheets/Numbers without touching code. (API access for automated pipelines is Trader-only.)

Analyst opens in the first 10 days of June 2026. Drop your email and we ping you the moment checkout goes live so you grab a founder-rate seat before the 100-seat cap closes.

Trader

Waitlist · opens shortly after Analyst

$65.83/mo

billed annually · $790/yr · save $158/yr

Or $79/mo if billed monthly

→ $99/mo once founder seats fill

Launch founder pricing — first 25 subscribers. Annual + monthly rates both locked for 24 months from signup. Standard $99/mo after.

For quants and active traders. Real-time quotes, unlimited everything, an AI data chat that runs live research over the validated universe, and alerts that fire when YOUR exact compound rule hits.

Everything in Analyst, plus:
No query cap — unlimited data chat backed by an autonomous research engine that continuously scans the validated universe across six horizons, surfaces co-firing signal pairs, and re-tests them out-of-sample. Ask a question and it investigates — chaining across indicators, co-fires, fire history, and live news before it answers, with a Gemini 2.5 Pro "deep analysis" toggle for the hardest cross-indicator queries. Not autocomplete over a spreadsheet.
See the market move WHILE it's moving — real-time SIP/IEX quotes + tick-level chart updates, replacing the 15-min Yahoo delay every free site (and Analyst) is stuck on.
Live numbers, no reload — 30-second polling + push updates on signals, movers, sector heatmaps, and your watchlist. Walk away, come back, the screen already updated.
Save every backtest you build + share the exact configuration with collaborators via share-link. No more re-running the same setup to show a teammate.
Catch the exact trigger that actually matters to you — unlimited SMS + WhatsApp + compound alert rules. "Chamath initiates AND VIX > 25 AND it's an AI name → text me." Build the trigger, get the text.
Cut your renewal cost — referral discount when you bring another subscriber, stackable up to 100% credit.
See new alt-data feeds (FCC, FERC, +5 in the pipeline) before they land in Almanac.
The Standard Poorly Letter when published — long-form research worth a Sunday read.

Trader opens shortly after Analyst — once the real-time SIP/IEX feed ships in mid-June. Drop your email and we ping you the moment a founder-rate seat opens.

API + MCP

Separate product · coming soon

Pipe Standard Poorly into your own scripts, dashboards, or AI client. Programmatic access ships as its own product — purchasable alongside any tier, priced separately — not bundled into Trader. It serves the conclusions: signal states (firing / cooling / dormant), threshold-cross + watchlist alerts, leaderboard rank changes, single-indicator summary reads, and top-N movers. The MCP server brings the same surface into Claude Desktop / Cursor / Claude Code for an answer-seeking, conversational workflow.

What it does not do: no full-catalog dump, no raw underlying time series, no coefficient matrix, no formulas or methodology. The curated universe, the synthesis, and the algos are the product — the API hands you the answers, not the means of production. Reads are metered and delayed; alerts run near-real-time.

— What changes per tier —

Almanac · Free

Read everything. One standard cut per indicator, SPY cross-asset, top-60 cofires preview. The wedge — open positions for every pundit we ledger, EPA Industrial Pulse (full history per ticker, 7-day publication delay on new monthly releases), headline performance — stays public forever. Full closed-position ledger with receipts is Analyst-tier.

Analyst · $19

Do your own research with your watchlist. Data chat answers cross-indicator queries. BYOB lets you swap conviction rubrics + sizing + horizons. Custom thresholds + 8-target cross-asset + all cofires. Email/webhook alerts when your setups fire.

Trader · $79

Run live research. Unlimited AI data chat backed by an autonomous research engine + Gemini Pro deep-analysis. Real-time SIP/IEX quotes. SMS + WhatsApp + compound alert rules ("NVDA fires + VIX low + semis cofire"). Referral program: bring another subscriber, both get a discount on next year. Early access to new alt-data feeds. (Programmatic API + MCP ship as a separate product — see below.)

Compare all features (full matrix · 45 rows)

Core data

Daily indicator universe

Know what's predicting the market today — every morning, 658 leading indicators are recomputed and ranked. The strongest fires bubble to the top so you don't have to dig.

✓

Pair Plays · 1,422 cross-indicator pairs

See which signals confirm each other so you stop trading off one indicator alone. Every pair is back-tested for joint hit-rate vs each leg solo — the lift is the trade.

✓

Pundit current holdings (Bestie / BG2 / Cross-pod / Sohn / Summit / Grant's)

Know what every pundit you follow is actually long or short, right now — not what they tweeted last quarter. Open positions across every public-market call we ledger.

open positions + headline performance

open + closed positions, host attribution, transcript receipts, timestamped event history

everything in Analyst + drawdown overlay + market-state breakdown + alerts when a host opens/trims/closes

EPA Industrial Pulse — flagship 13 tickers (full history, per-ticker pages)

Read which industrial names are quietly ramping production months before earnings — waste-output by facility is a leading indicator that doesn't show up in any sell-side model. Free tier sees the full 2018→ history on every per-ticker page; the wedge is timing.

full history, 7-day publication delay

day-0 (no delay) + composite index + per-facility breakdown + cross-asset correlation matrix + >1σ email alerts

day-0 + next-month nowcast + custom EPA watchlist + compound webhook alerts + unlimited CSV/JSON + API access

EPA TRI panel — 41 tickers × 25 years

Spot facility-level production shifts (and chemical-mix changes that hint at new product lines) before they show up anywhere else. 25 years of regulatory disclosures, sliced by ticker.

aggregate only

per-facility, per-chemical

per-facility + custom watchlists

Composite indices · SP Fear / Consumer / Macro / Chaos

Get a one-glance read on each of the 4 things that actually drive equities — fear, consumer health, macro stress, chaos. Each is a proprietary composite of ~20 underlying signals so you don't have to track all of them.

✓

Calendar events with pre-event SPY windows

Know which scheduled events (FOMC, earnings, prediction-market resolutions) historically produce predictable SPY moves in the days BEFORE them — so you have time to position.

✓

Per-indicator depth

Canonical horizons (1d / 1w / 1m / 3m / 6m / 1y)

See what a signal predicts at every meaningful horizon, side-by-side. A signal that works at 1d but breaks at 3mo is the most honest read on the site — and we show both.

✓

Custom horizons (1–504 trading days, including 90d / 150d / 210d / 365d / 504d)

Test a signal on YOUR holding horizon, not just ours. If you swing-trade on a 14-day timeframe or hold 9 months for tax reasons, dial that exact window and see the real hit-rate.

—

✓

Each indicator's natural horizon highlighted

Stop forcing every signal into a 21-day window when it actually works at 73 days. AutoResearch v6 tuned each indicator's precise sweet spot; ~19% have a natural horizon outside the 6 canonical cells — Analyst sees the exact day count.

visible as a teaser

default active horizon

default active horizon

Per-indicator σ distribution panel + custom threshold slider

Decide how sensitive you want each alert to be. The default 2σ threshold catches obvious fires; drop to 1.5σ for early reads, raise to 3σ for high-conviction-only — see the full distribution before you pick.

—

✓

Multiple baseline windows side-by-side (30d / 90d / 180d / 360d)

Confirm a signal is real and not just baseline drift — compare its z-score against four lookback windows simultaneously. Consistent across all four = signal; only loud on one = artifact.

—

✓

Cross-asset matrix (SPY + WTI + Gold + BTC + Copper + DXY + MOVE + VNQ)

Find out what else a signal predicts beyond SPY — a fear-gauge fire that also moves gold + DXY is a macro trade, not an equities trade. 8-target matrix at every horizon.

SPY only

all 8 targets × all horizons

all 8 targets × all horizons

Bootstrap confidence intervals on hit rates

Know whether a 65% hit-rate is "actually 65%" or "anywhere from 52% to 78% depending on the sample." We resample the fires 10,000× and show the confidence band so you can size the bet honestly.

—

✓

Walk-forward OOS metrics (full distribution, not just badge)

See HOW BADLY a signal degraded when retested on data it had never seen — not just whether it passed the OOS bar. Some "validated" signals just barely cleared the threshold; others crushed it. Now you know which is which.

—

✓

Build & backtest

BYOB — Build Your Own Backtest (pick conviction rubric + sizing + horizon)

See if YOUR investing rules would have actually made money. Swap conviction thresholds, position sizing, hold windows; the v5.4 engine reruns 6 years of history against your config and produces the equity curve + max drawdown + vs-SPY chart.

public presets only

custom presets + 5 saved backtests

unlimited saved backtests

Watchlists (track your favorite signals/tickers)

Stop hunting through 658 indicators every morning. Pin the 10–25 that actually move tickers you trade and the home page reads to your watchlist first.

—

3 watchlists, 25 items each

unlimited

Backtest history + share-link snapshots

Never re-run the same backtest twice. Save every config you build + share a permalink so collaborators see the exact setup — not your screenshot of it.

—

5 saved

unlimited + collaborator links

Cross-signal intelligence

Joint cofires — pairs that fire together with lift over solo

Find the second-derivative trades — pairs of signals that fire together AND have a higher hit-rate than either one alone. Free tier shows the top 60; paid unlocks all 2,360 validated pairs.

top 60 pairs preview

all 2,360 validated pairs + live alerts

all + compound rule alerts

Triplet patterns (3-way co-occurrences)

Find the rare-but-loud 3-way confirmations (X + Y + Z all fire on the same day) where the combined lift over any single leg is sharp enough to be tradeable. AutoResearch surfaces only the validated ones.

—

✓

Regime-aware fires (low / normal / high VIX)

Stop trusting a signal in a regime it never worked in. Same fire, three different forward-return distributions depending on whether VIX is < 14, 14–25, or > 25 — see all three before you act.

panel visible on detail

filter home grid by regime

filter home grid by regime

Conditional fires ("X only matters when Y is in regime Z")

Surface the 70+ signals that LOOK like 50/50 coin-flips on their own but flip to 70%+ hit-rate under specific market conditions. AutoResearch finds the conditions; you trade them.

—

✓

Pundit ledger depth

Open positions / current holdings per host

Know what every host is long or short RIGHT NOW. Free for everyone, every pundit we ledger — the headline answer to "what does Chamath actually own."

✓

Full closed-position ledger with episode + timestamp citations

Win the argument with the receipts. Every closed call, with the exact episode and timestamp inside the transcript where the host opened, trimmed, or closed. This is the audit trail.

last 5 closed positions, teaser only

✓

Host attribution + embedded transcript snippets

Read the exact words next to the call. No more "wait, did he actually say that?" — the transcript snippet sits inline with the position so you can verify before you cite.

—

✓

Per-host hit-rate + streak history + drawdown analysis

Know which host to actually weight in your reads. Headline returns hide the variance — see when each host ran hot or cold, max drawdown, and the longest losing streak before you trust the next call.

—

✓

Market-state overlay on host performance

Find out if a host only outperforms in calm markets (and gets crushed in panic), or vice-versa. Per-host performance bucketed by VIX regime tells you when to size up vs trim.

—

✓

Audit-hall edit history (every correction tracked)

See every editorial correction we've made + who flagged it. Transparency that protects you (no quiet rewrites) and protects the pundit (no misattribution that stays uncorrected).

read-only

submit corrections

submit + early-review queue

Alerts & exports

Email alerts on fires

Never miss a setup. Get an email the moment any indicator (or any name on your watchlist) crosses the fire threshold — no need to keep the tab open.

—

unlimited

unlimited

Webhook alerts (Slack, Discord, Zapier)

Push fires into the tools your team already uses. Drop a Slack channel URL, pipe into Discord, or chain through Zapier into anything — no API code required.

—

✓

SMS alerts

For the signals you can't miss even if you're away from the screen. Phone buzzes the moment the threshold is crossed, with the indicator name + current z-score.

—

50/mo cap

unlimited + WhatsApp

Compound alert rules ("X fires + regime Y + Z co-fires")

Get a text ONLY when your exact setup fires — not every time the engine sneezes. Chain conditions with AND/OR: "Chamath initiates AND VIX > 25 AND it's an AI name → text me." Build the trigger you'd actually act on.

—

✓

CSV / JSON download per indicator

Get the raw data into Excel/Sheets/Numbers for the analysis you want to do that we don't build for you. Daily-refreshed CSV exports, no scraping needed.

—

10 indicators/day

unlimited

API access — programmatic alerts + summary reads

Pipe SP signal states and alerts into your own model, dashboard, or trading script. Ships as a standalone product (not bundled into a tier) — purchasable alongside any plan. Built to serve the conclusions (alerts, states, summary reads), not the raw series or formulas. See the API + MCP card above.

—

separate product · coming soon

MCP server (Model Context Protocol)

Query the universe from inside Claude Desktop, Cursor, Claude Code, or any MCP-compatible AI client — no tab switching. High-level query tools for signal state, alerts, indicator explanations, and top-N movers. Ships with the standalone API product, not a bundled tier feature.

—

separate product · coming soon

Quote freshness

TradingView Advanced Chart

The same pro-grade chart you'd see on TradingView itself, embedded on every ticker page — drawing tools, indicators, multi-timeframe. Streams 15-min delayed US-stock quotes for every visitor (Yahoo-equivalent baseline). If you already pay for TradingView Pro, real-time entitlement carries over automatically.

streaming 15-min delayed

streaming 15-min delayed

streaming 15-min delayed (replaced by real-time SIP/IEX on Trader-tier chart)

Movers, sector heatmap, ticker page quote display

See the market move WHILE it's moving. Free tier shows a 15-min snapshot; Trader replaces the delay entirely with real-time SIP/IEX via our paid Alpaca feed — same data the desk uses, no 15-min lag.

15-min snapshot · refreshes every 15 min

15-min delayed · client polls every 60s

Real-time SIP/IEX quotes + tick-level chart updates · 30-second polling + push updates on signals, movers, heatmaps, watchlist

Fire alert latency (post-auth)

How fast you know — the difference between catching a setup intraday vs reading about it the next morning. Trader fires within 5 minutes; Almanac gets the end-of-day digest.

end-of-day digest

within 1 hour (hourly batch)

within 5 min · SMS + webhook + compound rules

LLM & research

Support chat — "how do I use this / what does X mean?"

Stop reading the methodology page to figure out what an "OOS-validated" badge means. Ask the chat — Gemini 2.5 Flash grounded on our docs, free for everyone, answers reproduce because there's no live web search muddying the response.

unlimited (rate-limited)

unlimited

unlimited

Data chat — "Ask the Universe" grounded on the indicator data

Skip the spreadsheet trip — ask plain-English questions about any stock, sector, indicator, or the underlying data and editorial behind any of it, with live news context pulled in for the named tickers. Cross-indicator queries ("which of my watchlist names co-fired this week?"), per-ticker deep dives ("what indicators are calling NVDA right now?"), editorial follow-ups ("why does the McRib signal even exist?") all work in the same chat. Trader includes a "deep analysis" toggle that routes hard queries to Gemini 2.5 Pro for longer-form reasoning.

—

100 queries/mo

unlimited (fair use) + Gemini Pro toggle

The Standard Poorly Letter — long-form research, when published

Long-form takes worth a Sunday read — when we have something worth shipping, you get the full thesis (not the headline). No monthly cadence promise; we ship when the work is ready.

—

✓

Early access to new alt-data feeds (FCC, FERC, +5 more pending)

See new datasets before anyone else. Trader subscribers get FCC + FERC + 5 more alt-data feeds (in the pipeline) the moment they land — months before they show up in Almanac.

—

✓

Account

Seats per account

Single-seat by design — we skip seat-management headaches so we can ship product faster instead of building admin consoles. For teams: see the referral program below (a 100% credit if you bring 5+ subscribers).

1

1

1

Referral program

Cut your renewal cost by bringing in subscribers. Refer a paying member, both of you get a discount on next year's renewal. Stackable up to a 100% credit — at 5 successful referrals your sub is free.

—

discount on renewal

discount on renewal

TradingView Advanced Chart on indicator detail

See the indicator chart with the same drawing/indicator tools you use on TradingView itself — embedded directly via our partner integration so there's no jumping back-and-forth between sites.

standard view

full Advanced Chart

full Advanced Chart

— Join the Analyst + Trader waitlist —

Launch founder seats are capped at 100 Analyst + 25 Trader. Annual + monthly rates both lock for 24 months from signup — Analyst $15.83/mo billed annually (or $19/mo billed monthly), Trader $65.83/mo billed annually (or $79/mo billed monthly). We may open more founder seats after launch if launch-cohort usage looks healthy. We'll ping you the day checkout is live — no spam, no drip sequence.

— What we're not promising —

This is a side project run by humans + AI agents. Support is best-effort. We don't guarantee SLA reply times. Most questions get a useful answer the same week.
We don't sell investment advice. Everything on this site is editorial commentary on public data. Position-size with that in mind — see methodology for what we do and don't claim.
Free Almanac stays free. The wedge product (open positions for every pundit we ledger, full EPA Industrial Pulse history per ticker, daily indicator universe, headline performance) does not move behind a paywall to push you to Analyst. Where the EPA wedge IS gated: timing (free sees new monthly releases 7 days after Analyst), the cross-ticker composite index, per-facility breakdown, nowcast, and alerts. Same data; paid = the 7-day jump plus the analytics layer on top.
Free AI chat is limited to docs & methodology. The free Almanac support chat (cheap model, grounded on documentation) can answer “what does sigma mean?” or “how do I read this matrix?” — it's rate-limited per session. The richer data chat that queries the actual indicator universe (larger LLM with tool-use, cross-indicator queries) requires Analyst so the cost stays sane.
The Letter ships when it's ready, not monthly. We don't promise a calendar cadence on long-form research. Trader subscribers get every issue when it lands.
Affiliate disclosure. Some Trader features (TradingView charts, Interactive Brokers integration, prediction-market links) include partner referral codes. We disclose every one and never let a partner shape the editorial.