StandardPoorly
— Engine state · live —

Live signals

What the engine is saying right now. Brewing reads, today's fires, predictions still in their forward window, and the freshest just-exited calls.

Analyst · previewYou're seeing the public read on the live signals grid. Analyst unlocks saved watchlists + alerts when an indicator fires + the full multi-year hit-rate breakdown on each card. Trader adds real-time refresh + compound alert rules (cross-signal AND / OR triggers) + the API + MCP for pulling into Claude / Cursor.Compare tiers →
Approaching
0
|z| ∈ [1.5, 2.0)
Firing today
0
|z| ≥ 2.0
In window
172
71↑ · 67↓ predictions live
Just exited
30
last 30 trading days

Approaching the fire threshold

0 indicators

Latest reading is brewing — |z| ∈ [1.5, 2.0). Could fire tomorrow.

No indicators currently brewing.

Firing today

0 indicators

Crossed the fire threshold today (|z| ≥ 2.0). The engine is making a live call.

No indicators firing today. Most days are quiet — check Approaching above for what's about to light up.

In window

172 indicators

Prior fires whose forward-prediction window is still open. The engine has live calls here that haven't been settled yet.

Indicator↕Horizon↕Fired↕Days remaining↕Predicted return↕Status↕
San Francisco Temperature 3 mo122d ago4d+0.34%●Still works on fresh data
Gold MACD histogram 1 yr174d ago6d+0.24%●Still works on fresh data
Days to year end 1 yr245d ago7d+0.01%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Northwest region 3 mo55d ago8d-1.99%●Still works on fresh data
ITA Defense / Aerospace ETF 1 yr244d ago8d+0.41%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Midwest region 3 mo52d ago11d-2.07%●Still works on fresh data
Seattle Temperature 6 mo112d ago14d+0.97%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Miami 6 mo111d ago15d+0.78%●Still works on fresh data
Minneapolis Temperature 1 mo237d ago15d+0.18%●Still works on fresh data
REMX Rare Earth / Strategic Metals ETF 1 yr237d ago15d-0.57%●Still works on fresh data
Chicago Temperature 3 mo237d ago15d-0.12%●Still works on fresh data
Dallas Temperature 1 yr234d ago18d+0.68%●Still works on fresh data
St Louis Temperature 1 yr234d ago18d+0.43%●Still works on fresh data
8-K Material-Event Velocity (S&P 500) 6 mo44d ago19d-1.46%●Still works on fresh data
Houston Temperature 1 yr233d ago19d+1.13%●Still works on fresh data
Natural Gas (Henry Hub) 1 yr232d ago20d-1.14%●Still works on fresh data
URA Uranium ETF 6 mo232d ago20d-0.16%○Not yet retested on fresh data
Copper (Dr. Copper) 1 yr231d ago21d+0.67%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — New England region 3 mo41d ago22d-2.54%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — New York region 3 mo41d ago22d-2.47%●Still works on fresh data
SPY 50-day SMA 6 mo101d ago25d+1.92%●Still works on fresh data
Tampa Temperature 1 yr227d ago25d+1.23%●Still works on fresh data
Host Hotels (HST) stock price 1 yr101d ago25d-0.51%●Still works on fresh data
COPX Copper Miners ETF 1 mo226d ago26d+0.05%●Still works on fresh data
Wikipedia: "Stock market crash" 1 yr223d ago29d-5.92%●Still works on fresh data
KRE Regional Banks ETF 1 yr219d ago33d+0.24%●Still works on fresh data
Moody's Baa Corporate Bond Spread (over 10Y) 6 mo92d ago34d-1.15%●Still works on fresh data
US National Weather Grade (top-30 metros, pop-weighted) 1 yr218d ago34d+0.98%●Still works on fresh data
UPS 1 yr216d ago36d+0.35%●Still works on fresh data
Walmart 1 mo212d ago40d+0.04%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Las Vegas 6 mo211d ago41d+0.34%●Still works on fresh data
10Y Treasury Yield 6 mo48d ago42d-2.57%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Los Angeles 3 mo210d ago42d+0.73%●Still works on fresh data
Marriott (MAR) stock price 6 mo210d ago42d+0.24%●Still works on fresh data
Salt Lake City Sunshine 1 yr205d ago47d+3.37%●Still works on fresh data
Miami Temperature 1 yr205d ago47d+1.44%●Still works on fresh data
San Francisco Sunshine Duration 1 yr204d ago48d+2.96%●Still works on fresh data
Phoenix Temperature 6 mo128d ago52d+0.73%●Still works on fresh data
Las Vegas Temperature 1 mo128d ago52d+0.15%●Still works on fresh data
FedEx 1 yr199d ago53d+0.57%○Not yet retested on fresh data
XLP Consumer Staples ETF 1 yr199d ago53d-0.06%●Still works on fresh data
OIH Oil Services ETF 6 mo199d ago53d+0.02%●Still works on fresh data
Lockheed Martin 3 mo195d ago57d-0.54%●Still works on fresh data
DC Temperature 3 mo121d ago59d-0.01%●Still works on fresh data
Portland Precipitation 1 yr189d ago63d-3.24%●Still works on fresh data
SPY Bollinger position ( from 20d MA) 1 yr188d ago64d+1.95%●Still works on fresh data
WTI Crude RSI(14) 1 wk188d ago64d-0.15%●Still works on fresh data
US National Max Wind (pop-weighted) 1 yr185d ago67d+0.29%●Still works on fresh data
Miami Sunshine 1 yr183d ago69d+3.28%●Still works on fresh data
Lumber 6 mo57d ago69d-0.84%●Still works on fresh data

Just exited

30 indicators

Windows that closed in the last 30 trading days. Postmortem territory — where the engine's calls now have realized outcomes.

Indicator↕Horizon↕Closed↕Predicted return↕Status↕
Home Depot (HD) stock price 1 yr1d ago+1.18%●Still works on fresh data
Salt Lake City Temperature 6 mo1d ago+0.96%●Still works on fresh data
Atlanta Sunshine 1 yr2d ago+1.95%●Still works on fresh data
Days since last MCU release 1 yr2d ago-0.27%●Still works on fresh data
Crypto Fear & Greed Index 6 mo9d ago+1.76%●Still works on fresh data
Atlanta Temperature 1 yr9d ago+0.55%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Boston 1 yr10d ago+0.81%●Still works on fresh data
Rivian 1 mo10d ago-0.49%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Seattle 1 yr13d ago+1.25%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: New York 1 yr13d ago+0.76%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Detroit 1 yr13d ago+0.63%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Mid-Atlantic region 3 mo14d ago-2.11%●Still works on fresh data
US Electricity Demand (daily) 3 mo14d ago-1.82%●Still works on fresh data
Brent Crude 3 mo14d ago+0.14%●Still works on fresh data
WTI Crude Oil 6 mo15d ago-0.90%●Still works on fresh data
Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel (US Gulf Coast) 1 wk15d ago-0.12%●Still works on fresh data
Days since last full moon 1 wk17d ago-0.08%◌Fell apart on fresh data
NYC Precipitation 1 yr20d ago-4.03%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Philadelphia 1 yr20d ago+0.95%●Still works on fresh data
Charlotte Sunshine 1 yr21d ago+2.08%●Still works on fresh data
SPY MACD histogram 3 mo21d ago-0.03%●Still works on fresh data
Airbnb (ABNB) stock price 6 mo22d ago-1.46%●Still works on fresh data
Federal Funds Rate (daily) 1 yr23d ago-6.28%●Still works on fresh data
Hilton (HLT) stock price 6 mo23d ago+0.08%●Still works on fresh data
WTI Crude ATR(14) 6 mo24d ago-1.07%●Still works on fresh data
Charlotte Temperature 1 yr24d ago+0.33%●Still works on fresh data
Pittsburgh Temperature 1 yr24d ago+0.15%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Florida region 3 mo28d ago+0.55%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Central region 1 mo29d ago-0.76%●Still works on fresh data
PayPal (PYPL) stock price 1 yr29d ago+1.51%●Still works on fresh data
Approaching / firing tiers are derived from cofiring.json (rolling 30-day z-score, threshold 2.0). In-window / just-exited tiers derive from each indicator'sdaysSinceLastFire + the engine's tuned naturalHorizonDays (fallback: canonical bestHorizon). Predicted-return numbers are the historical average, not a forecast. methodology.