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— Engine state · live —

Live signals

What the engine is saying right now. Brewing reads, today's fires, predictions still in their forward window, and the freshest just-exited calls.

Analyst · previewYou're seeing the public read on the live signals grid. Analyst unlocks saved watchlists + alerts when an indicator fires + the full multi-year hit-rate breakdown on each card. Trader adds real-time refresh + compound alert rules (cross-signal AND / OR triggers) + the API + MCP for pulling into Claude / Cursor.Compare tiers →
Approaching / firing snapshot as of 2026-05-27.
Approaching
16
13↑ · 3↓
Firing today
1
0↑ · 1↓
In window
218
101↑ · 80↓ predictions live
Just exited
9
last 30 trading days

Approaching the fire threshold

16 indicators

Latest reading is brewing — |z| ∈ [1.5, 2.0). Could fire tomorrow.

Indicator↕Category↕z-score↕Direction↕
Ethereumcrypto-1.67σdown
BTC RSI(14)technical-1.67σdown
Days since last Harry Potter releasechaos+1.64σup
Days since last Bruce Willis moviechaos+1.64σup
Days since end of last government shutdownevents+1.64σup
Days since last Samuel L. Jackson moviechaos+1.64σup
Days since last Liam Neeson moviechaos+1.64σup
Days since last Star Wars releasechaos+1.64σup
Days since most recent Taylor Swift albumchaos+1.64σup
Days since last Drake albumchaos+1.64σup
Days since last MCU releasechaos+1.64σup
Days since last Bitcoin halvingchaos+1.64σup
Days to year endcalendar-1.64σdown
Days since most recent McRib returnchaos+1.64σup
Days since last Nicolas Cage moviechaos+1.64σup
Days since last Beyoncé albumchaos+1.64σup

Firing today

1 indicator

Crossed the fire threshold today (|z| ≥ 2.0). The engine is making a live call.

Indicator↕Category↕z-score↕Direction↕
Days since last Grand Theft Auto releasechaos-3.68σdown

In window

218 indicators

Prior fires whose forward-prediction window is still open. The engine has live calls here that haven't been settled yet.

Indicator↕Horizon↕Fired↕Days remaining↕Predicted return↕Status↕
Detroit Temperature 3 mo61d ago2d-0.05%●Still works on fresh data
NYC Temperature (Central Park) 3 mo60d ago3d-0.15%●Still works on fresh data
Philadelphia Temperature 3 mo60d ago3d-0.03%●Still works on fresh data
iShares Home Construction ETF (ITB) 6 mo121d ago5d+0.03%●Still works on fresh data
Gold RSI(14) 1 mo117d ago9d-0.30%●Still works on fresh data
Philadelphia Sunshine 1 yr242d ago10d+1.96%●Still works on fresh data
Boston Temperature 3 mo53d ago10d+0.03%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Central region 1 mo10d ago11d-0.76%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Southwest region 1 mo9d ago12d-0.33%●Still works on fresh data
Investment-Grade Corporate OAS 1 yr111d ago15d+0.72%●Still works on fresh data
Eagle Materials (EXP) stock price 6 mo111d ago15d+0.03%●Still works on fresh data
Sacramento Sunshine 1 yr236d ago16d+4.35%●Still works on fresh data
ETH MACD histogram 1 mo164d ago16d+0.34%●Still works on fresh data
Bitcoin 1 mo164d ago16d+0.26%●Still works on fresh data
BTC MACD histogram 3 mo163d ago17d+0.33%●Still works on fresh data
Industrial Production — Electric Power Generation 6 mo230d ago22d-3.68%○Not yet retested on fresh data
Industrial Production — Utilities 6 mo230d ago22d-3.65%●Still works on fresh data
St Louis Sunshine 1 yr230d ago22d+2.22%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Chicago 1 yr230d ago22d+0.66%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Washington DC 1 yr229d ago23d+0.73%●Still works on fresh data
Pittsburgh Sunshine 1 yr229d ago23d+1.17%●Still works on fresh data
Chicago Sunshine Duration 1 yr228d ago24d+2.07%●Still works on fresh data
Detroit Sunshine 1 yr228d ago24d+1.64%●Still works on fresh data
PayPal (PYPL) stock price 1 yr149d ago31d+1.51%●Still works on fresh data
10Y Treasury Yield 6 mo58d ago32d-2.57%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Florida region 3 mo31d ago32d+0.55%●Still works on fresh data
WTI Crude ATR(14) 6 mo90d ago36d-1.07%●Still works on fresh data
Charlotte Temperature 1 yr216d ago36d+0.22%●Still works on fresh data
Pittsburgh Temperature 1 yr216d ago36d+0.06%●Still works on fresh data
Federal Funds Rate (daily) 1 yr215d ago37d-6.28%●Still works on fresh data
Hilton (HLT) stock price 6 mo89d ago37d+0.04%●Still works on fresh data
Airbnb (ABNB) stock price 6 mo88d ago38d-1.46%●Still works on fresh data
Charlotte Sunshine 1 yr213d ago39d+2.06%●Still works on fresh data
SPY MACD histogram 3 mo87d ago39d-0.03%●Still works on fresh data
NYC Precipitation 1 yr212d ago40d-3.98%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Philadelphia 1 yr212d ago40d+0.93%●Still works on fresh data
WTI Crude Oil 6 mo81d ago45d-0.88%●Still works on fresh data
Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel (US Gulf Coast) 1 wk81d ago45d-0.12%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — New England region 3 mo17d ago46d-2.54%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Mid-Atlantic region 3 mo17d ago46d-2.10%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Midwest region 3 mo17d ago46d-2.05%●Still works on fresh data
US Electricity Demand (daily) 3 mo17d ago46d-1.79%●Still works on fresh data
Brent Crude 3 mo80d ago46d+0.14%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Seattle 1 yr205d ago47d+1.21%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: New York 1 yr205d ago47d+0.71%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Detroit 1 yr205d ago47d+0.56%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Boston 1 yr202d ago50d+0.75%●Still works on fresh data
Rivian 1 mo202d ago50d-0.48%●Still works on fresh data
Crypto Fear & Greed Index 6 mo75d ago51d+1.76%●Still works on fresh data
Atlanta Temperature 1 yr201d ago51d+0.45%●Still works on fresh data

Just exited

9 indicators

Windows that closed in the last 30 trading days. Postmortem territory — where the engine's calls now have realized outcomes.

Indicator↕Horizon↕Closed↕Predicted return↕Status↕
Portland Sunshine 1 yr6d ago+1.82%●Still works on fresh data
Seattle Sunshine 1 yr6d ago+1.57%●Still works on fresh data
8-K Material-Event Velocity (S&P 500) 6 mo10d ago-1.45%●Still works on fresh data
8-K Exec/Board Change Disclosures (S&P 500) 3 mo13d ago-0.75%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Texas region 1 wk15d ago-0.05%●Still works on fresh data
ERCOT (Texas) Electricity Demand 1 wk15d ago-0.05%●Still works on fresh data
Days since last full moon 1 wk15d ago-0.08%◌Fell apart on fresh data
Cleveland-Cliffs 6 mo20d ago-0.60%●Still works on fresh data
CNN Fear & Greed Index (equities) 3 mo27d ago+3.12%●Still works on fresh data
Approaching / firing tiers are derived from cofiring.json (rolling 30-day z-score, threshold 2.0). In-window / just-exited tiers derive from each indicator'sdaysSinceLastFire + the engine's tuned naturalHorizonDays (fallback: canonical bestHorizon). Predicted-return numbers are the historical average, not a forecast. methodology.