StandardPoorly
— Engine state · live —

Live signals

What the engine is saying right now. Brewing reads, today's fires, predictions still in their forward window, and the freshest just-exited calls.

Analyst · previewYou're seeing the public read on the live signals grid. Analyst unlocks saved watchlists + alerts when an indicator fires + the full multi-year hit-rate breakdown on each card. Trader adds real-time refresh + compound alert rules (cross-signal AND / OR triggers) + the API + MCP for pulling into Claude / Cursor.Compare tiers →
Approaching
0
|z| ∈ [1.5, 2.0)
Firing today
0
|z| ≥ 2.0
In window
150
56↑ · 67↓ predictions live
Just exited
21
last 30 trading days

Approaching the fire threshold

0 indicators

Latest reading is brewing — |z| ∈ [1.5, 2.0). Could fire tomorrow.

No indicators currently brewing.

Firing today

0 indicators

Crossed the fire threshold today (|z| ≥ 2.0). The engine is making a live call.

No indicators firing today. Most days are quiet — check Approaching above for what's about to light up.

In window

150 indicators

Prior fires whose forward-prediction window is still open. The engine has live calls here that haven't been settled yet.

Indicator↕Horizon↕Fired↕Days remaining↕Predicted return↕Status↕
Phoenix Temperature 6 mo177d ago3d+0.77%●Still works on fresh data
Las Vegas Temperature 1 mo177d ago3d+0.15%●Still works on fresh data
FedEx 1 yr248d ago4d+0.59%○Not yet retested on fresh data
OIH Oil Services ETF 6 mo248d ago4d+0.02%●Still works on fresh data
Lockheed Martin 3 mo244d ago8d-0.54%●Still works on fresh data
DC Temperature 3 mo170d ago10d-0.01%●Still works on fresh data
Portland Precipitation 1 yr238d ago14d-3.28%●Still works on fresh data
SPY Bollinger position ( from 20d MA) 1 yr237d ago15d+2.00%●Still works on fresh data
WTI Crude RSI(14) 1 wk237d ago15d-0.15%●Still works on fresh data
US National Max Wind (pop-weighted) 1 yr234d ago18d+0.23%●Still works on fresh data
Miami Sunshine 1 yr232d ago20d+3.29%●Still works on fresh data
Los Angeles Daily AQI 1 yr230d ago22d-2.54%○Not yet retested on fresh data
Copper Bollinger position 1 yr230d ago22d+1.15%●Still works on fresh data
Boston Precipitation 1 yr227d ago25d-4.18%●Still works on fresh data
Seattle Precipitation 1 yr226d ago26d-3.63%●Still works on fresh data
ETH RSI(14) 1 mo154d ago26d+0.41%●Still works on fresh data
Pittsburgh Precipitation 1 yr223d ago29d-3.70%●Still works on fresh data
Mastercard (MA) stock price 1 mo223d ago29d-0.58%●Still works on fresh data
Capital One (COF) stock price 1 mo223d ago29d-0.34%●Still works on fresh data
VIX 1 yr220d ago32d-2.65%●Still works on fresh data
High-Yield Credit Spread (BAML OAS) 1 yr220d ago32d+0.61%●Still works on fresh data
SPY RSI(14) 1 yr220d ago32d+1.64%●Still works on fresh data
Microsoft 1 yr220d ago32d+0.58%●Still works on fresh data
Las Vegas Sunshine 1 yr219d ago33d+4.04%●Still works on fresh data
LA Sunshine Duration 1 yr219d ago33d+2.88%●Still works on fresh data
San Diego Sunshine 1 yr219d ago33d+2.54%●Still works on fresh data
SPY ATR(14) 1 yr219d ago33d+0.62%●Still works on fresh data
US Electricity Price per kWh 6 mo218d ago34d-0.70%●Still works on fresh data
Visa (V) stock price 1 yr218d ago34d+1.24%●Still works on fresh data
Salt Lake City Precipitation 1 yr217d ago35d-4.40%●Still works on fresh data
SPY 20/50 MA cross 1 yr217d ago35d+3.00%●Still works on fresh data
SPY MACD line (12/26) 1 yr217d ago35d+2.02%●Still works on fresh data
Tampa Sunshine 1 yr212d ago40d+3.41%●Still works on fresh data
XOP Oil & Gas Exploration ETF 1 wk212d ago40d-0.17%●Still works on fresh data
US National Sunshine Duration (pop-weighted) 1 wk211d ago41d-0.04%●Still works on fresh data
WTI Crude 50/200 MA cross 1 yr209d ago43d-0.61%●Still works on fresh data
Detroit Precipitation 1 yr205d ago47d-3.91%●Still works on fresh data
SPY 50/200 MA spread (% above 200d) 1 yr204d ago48d+3.37%●Still works on fresh data
US Dollar Index (DXY) 6 mo132d ago48d-0.34%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — Florida region 3 mo13d ago50d+0.55%●Still works on fresh data
US National Precipitation (pop-weighted) 1 yr199d ago53d+7.80%○Not yet retested on fresh data
Weather grade: San Francisco 1 yr198d ago54d+2.60%●Still works on fresh data
Banking Total Loans & Leases (weekly H.8) 1 yr197d ago55d-5.07%●Still works on fresh data
WTI Crude MACD histogram 1 wk197d ago55d-0.14%●Still works on fresh data
8-K Material-Event Velocity (S&P 500) 6 mo7d ago56d-1.54%●Still works on fresh data
Chicago Precipitation 1 yr192d ago60d-4.21%●Still works on fresh data
10Y Treasury Yield 6 mo29d ago61d-2.57%●Still works on fresh data
Dallas Sunshine 1 yr190d ago62d+2.98%●Still works on fresh data
SPY Bollinger band width 1 yr190d ago62d-1.01%●Still works on fresh data
Mauna Loa CO2 (daily, ppm) 6 mo188d ago64d+1.98%●Still works on fresh data

Just exited

21 indicators

Windows that closed in the last 30 trading days. Postmortem territory — where the engine's calls now have realized outcomes.

Indicator↕Horizon↕Closed↕Predicted return↕Status↕
San Francisco Sunshine Duration 1 yr1d ago+2.96%●Still works on fresh data
Salt Lake City Sunshine 1 yr2d ago+3.40%●Still works on fresh data
Miami Temperature 1 yr2d ago+1.44%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Los Angeles 3 mo7d ago+0.73%●Still works on fresh data
Marriott (MAR) stock price 6 mo7d ago+0.24%●Still works on fresh data
Weather grade: Las Vegas 6 mo8d ago+0.40%●Still works on fresh data
Walmart 1 mo9d ago+0.05%●Still works on fresh data
Days since last full moon 1 wk10d ago-0.08%◌Fell apart on fresh data
UPS 1 yr13d ago+0.35%●Still works on fresh data
US National Weather Grade (top-30 metros, pop-weighted) 1 yr15d ago+1.05%●Still works on fresh data
KRE Regional Banks ETF 1 yr16d ago+0.24%●Still works on fresh data
Wikipedia: "Stock market crash" 1 yr20d ago-5.98%●Still works on fresh data
COPX Copper Miners ETF 1 mo23d ago+0.05%●Still works on fresh data
Tampa Temperature 1 yr24d ago+1.30%●Still works on fresh data
Host Hotels (HST) stock price 1 yr24d ago-0.48%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — New England region 3 mo27d ago-2.54%●Still works on fresh data
Grid Demand — New York region 3 mo27d ago-2.47%●Still works on fresh data
Copper (Dr. Copper) 1 yr28d ago+0.67%●Still works on fresh data
Natural Gas (Henry Hub) 1 yr29d ago-1.16%●Still works on fresh data
URA Uranium ETF 6 mo29d ago-0.16%○Not yet retested on fresh data
Houston Temperature 1 yr30d ago+1.19%●Still works on fresh data
Approaching / firing tiers are derived from cofiring.json (rolling 30-day z-score, threshold 2.0). In-window / just-exited tiers derive from each indicator'sdaysSinceLastFire + the engine's tuned naturalHorizonDays (fallback: canonical bestHorizon). Predicted-return numbers are the historical average, not a forecast. methodology.