Each host gets their own synthetic book. We use the date+price they actually spoke on, not the pod release date. We exclude jokes and OBSERVE-only mentions. Every record on the books has a 🚩 button so readers can flag misattribution — the audit trail is the brand.
We pull every US hazardous-waste manifest and aggregate by parent ticker. The result tracks each ticker's production output — monthly, in near-real-time — with 92% directional agreement, Spearman ρ = +0.635, p < 0.001 across the 13-ticker validated set. Hedge funds pay $10–50K/yr for normalized equivalents. We make the full history readable free; Analyst tier gets each new monthly release 7 days early (when EPA drops manifests, paid sees day-0, free sees day-7) plus the composite index, per-facility breakdown, and >1σ alerts.
The standard tier — macro, credit, commodities, equities, technicals. Indicators that fired in the last 120 days with the strongest historical track record. Sorted by deviation-from-chance × recency. The kind of data a Bloomberg terminal would carry. Browse the full universe →
When this fires, SPY averaged -2.5% over the next trading quarter — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 64% of the time.
When this fires, SPY averaged -15.1% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 81% of the time.
When this fires, SPY averaged -4.7% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 58% of the time.
Timely market signals you won't find elsewhere. Plus the occasional “Poorly”-proven correlation we tripped over in the data — pork futures → McRib launches → Bitcoin, that kind of thing. Cadence: when the data warrants it. Usually weekly.
When this fires, SPY averaged -2.5% over the next trading quarter — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 64% of the time.
When this fires, SPY averaged -0.76% over the next trading month — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 58% of the time.
When this fires, SPY averaged -2.1% over the next trading quarter — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 61% of the time.
Weather, sports outcomes, App Store ranks, Mercury retrograde, McRib comebacks. Same statistical treatment as Standard — just signals other publications don't bother to track. Some have edge, some don't; we publish either way.
We track historical SPY response to national weather patterns via US National Precipitation (pop-weighted). Forecast above is editorial framing, not a trade signal. See the indicator for the historical pattern + fire history.
When this fires, SPY averaged +7.7% over the next year — moving in the same direction as the signal 75% of the time.
When this fires, SPY averaged -6.5% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 70% of the time.
When this fires, SPY averaged -5.8% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 68% of the time.
When this fires, SPY averaged -4.9% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 67% of the time.
When this fires, SPY averaged -4.9% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 66% of the time.
When this fires, SPY averaged -6.0% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 66% of the time.
