VOL. I · NO. 119 · standardpoorly.comTHU · MAY 28 · 2026FORWARD HORIZON · 1 d / 1 wk / 1 mo / 3 mo
STANDARD Poorly
"All the correlations that are barely fit to print"
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lifestyleSP-0103

Tinder · App Store rank

Daily change in U.S. App Store rank for Tinder.

the verdict —
At the 21d horizon, this signal hits in the predicted direction 51% of fires. Status: pending. n = 612. Bullish on the underlying when fired.

Current state

Latest value

What it has historically predicted

On days when this signal fires, SPY has historically moved in the opposite direction 62% of the time over the next trading week.

58%
1 d
62%
1 wk
51%
1 mo
50%
3 mo

Beyond SPY — how this signal performs across markets

Same fire days, different forward returns. Each row asks: when this signal fires, what does that asset do? The big number is the average return; underneath is how often the asset moved the same direction as the signal (50% would be a coin flip).

target
1 d
1 wk
1 mo
3 mo
6 mo
1 yr
SPY
S&P 500 ETF
n=612
42% same direction
38% same direction
51% same direction
50% same direction
shaded cell = each row's strongest horizon (green = bullish forward return, red = bearish)“same direction” means the asset moved the same way the signal moved — opposite of a coin flip.