StandardlaborSP-4090

Challenger Monthly Job Cuts

Announced job cuts, Challenger Gray monthly report headline. One observation per month; return_1d = month-over-month change.

the verdict —

Engine has no recorded fires for this indicator (no day where |z|≥2 against the rolling window). The series is too steady, the threshold is too high, or the data is too short to evaluate. Status: pending.

— Current state —

Latest value · 2026-05-01

97,006

vs 7 days ago

↓ 37%

last 26 observations · 2024-04-01 → 2026-05-01

— The series — full history —

Daily readings, every reading we have. Pick a window with the time-period buttons; flip to candles via the global toggle in the masthead (or press C). Toggle the SPY overlay to see how this series and the S&P 500 have moved together.

Challenger Monthly Job Cuts

97,006▲ +32,217 (+49.73%) over 1Y

Hover for date + value · Toggle SPY to compare relative move

2024-04-01 → 2026-05-01  ·  26 bars

— What it has historically predicted —

Historically barely better than chance over the next trading day. We surface this for transparency, not because we'd trade on it.

50%

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1 d

50%

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1 wk

50%

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1 mo

50%

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3 mo

50%

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6 mo

50%

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1 yr

— Beyond SPY — how this signal performs across markets —

Same fire days, different forward returns. Each row asks: when this signal fires, what does that asset do? The big number is the average return; underneath is how often the asset moved the same direction as the signal (50% would be a coin flip).

target

1 d

1 wk

1 mo

3 mo

6 mo

1 yr

SPY

S&P 500 ETF

n=0

—

50% same direction

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50% same direction

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50% same direction

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50% same direction

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50% same direction

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50% same direction

shaded cell = each row's strongest horizon (green = bullish forward return, red = bearish)“same direction” means the asset moved the same way the signal moved — opposite of a coin flip.

Analyst · previewYou're seeing the public read on this signal. Analyst unlocks the full multi-year track record + bootstrap confidence intervals + an alert when this indicator fires. Trader adds the walk-forward backtest + intraday refresh + the API / MCP to pull this signal into Claude.Compare tiers →