How often does Kastle 10-City Average Office Occupancy (weekly) update?

Kastle 10-City Average Office Occupancy (weekly) is recomputed daily as part of Standard Poorly's nightly data refresh; the latest reading is from 2026-04-01.

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StandardmacroSP-4756

Kastle 10-City Average Office Occupancy (weekly)

Name: Kastle 10-City Average Office Occupancy (weekly) — leading indicator vs SPY
Creator: Standard Poorly
License: https://standardpoorly.com/terms

Weekly average office occupancy across 10 major US metros (Kastle's tracked footprint), expressed as % of pre-pandemic baseline. The headline number for return-to-work / office-RE demand.

Sectors:Consumer Spending Commercial Real Estate

the verdict —

Engine has no recorded fires for this indicator (no day where |z|≥2 against the rolling window). The series is too steady, the threshold is too high, or the data is too short to evaluate. Status: pending.

What to watch when it fires

SPY

— Current state —

Latest value · 2026-04-01

54.9

Binary calendar indicator — value is 1 on event days, 0 every other day. A time-series sparkline isn't meaningful here (it's mostly zeros). The hit-rate / magnitude stats below are computed against the event days themselves; see the COMING UP strip on the home page for upcoming instances.

— The series — full history —

Daily readings, every reading we have. Pick a window with the time-period buttons; flip to candles via the global toggle in the masthead (or press C). Toggle the SPY overlay to see how this series and the S&P 500 have moved together.

Kastle 10-City Average Office Occupancy (weekly)

54.90▼ -1.00 (-1.79%) over 1Y

Hover for date + value · Toggle SPY to compare relative move

2026-03-11 → 2026-04-01  ·  4 bars

— What it has historically predicted —

Historically barely better than chance over the next trading day. We surface this for transparency, not because we'd trade on it.

50%

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1 wk

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6 mo

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1 yr

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— Beyond SPY — how this signal performs across markets —

Same fire days, different forward returns. Each row asks: when this signal fires, what does that asset do? The big number is the average return; underneath is how often the asset moved the same direction as the signal (50% would be a coin flip).

target

1 d

1 wk

1 mo

3 mo

6 mo

1 yr

SPY

S&P 500 ETF

n=0

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50% same direction

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50% same direction

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50% same direction

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50% same direction

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50% same direction

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50% same direction

shaded cell = each row's strongest horizon (green = bullish forward return, red = bearish)“same direction” means the asset moved the same way the signal moved — opposite of a coin flip.

Signal grade

TOO NEW0/10

Too new to retest — not yet enough fresh data.

0 historical observations

How this works

This is a binary calendar indicator — value is 1 on event days (e.g. movie release, retrograde, McRib launch), 0 every other day. We check what SPY (and the other assets) did over the next 1, 5, 21, and 63 trading days after each event. The hit rate asks: did the market move the same direction more often than a coin flip would predict, on average across all historical event days?

We picked 60 days by sweeping {14, 30, 60, 90} and measuring signal quality — see methodology for the data.

full methodology →

— Related ticker news · SPY —live

Live from Alpaca / Benzinga. This indicator is editorially mapped to these tickers — open any SPY for the full feed.

No recent headlines for SPY in the last 7 days.

Analyst · previewYou're seeing the public read on this signal. Analyst unlocks the full multi-year track record + bootstrap confidence intervals + an alert when this indicator fires. Trader adds the walk-forward backtest + intraday refresh + the API / MCP to pull this signal into Claude.Compare tiers →