VOL. I · NO. 119 · standardpoorly.comTHU · MAY 28 · 2026FORWARD HORIZON · 1 d / 1 wk / 1 mo / 3 mo
STANDARD Poorly
"All the correlations that are barely fit to print"
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Standardindustrial_pulseSP-3523

TSM TRI Chemical Releases

Annual chemical releases from TSMC US operations (Phoenix fab).

the verdict —
Engine has no recorded fires for this indicator (no day where |z|≥2 against the rolling window). The series is too steady, the threshold is too high, or the data is too short to evaluate. Status: pending.
What to watch when it fires
XLIXLB

Current state

Latest value · 2024-01-01
23,968
Binary calendar indicator — value is 1 on event days, 0 every other day. A time-series sparkline isn't meaningful here (it's mostly zeros). The hit-rate / magnitude stats below are computed against the event days themselves; see the COMING UP strip on the home page for upcoming instances.

The series — full history

Daily readings, every reading we have. Pick a window with the time-period buttons; flip to candles via the global toggle in the masthead (or press C). Toggle the SPY overlay to see how this series and the S&P 500 have moved together.

TSM TRI Chemical Releases
23,968 +0.0000 (+0.00%) over 1Y
Hover for date + value · Toggle SPY to compare relative move
23,96823,96823,96823,96823,968Jan 24
2024-01-01 → 2024-01-01 · 1 bars

What it has historically predicted

Historically barely better than chance over the next trading day. We surface this for transparency, not because we'd trade on it.

50%
1 d
50%
1 wk
50%
1 mo
50%
3 mo
50%
6 mo
50%
1 yr

Beyond SPY — how this signal performs across markets

Same fire days, different forward returns. Each row asks: when this signal fires, what does that asset do? The big number is the average return; underneath is how often the asset moved the same direction as the signal (50% would be a coin flip).

target
1 d
1 wk
1 mo
3 mo
6 mo
1 yr
SPY
S&P 500 ETF
n=0
50% same direction
50% same direction
50% same direction
50% same direction
50% same direction
50% same direction
shaded cell = each row's strongest horizon (green = bullish forward return, red = bearish)“same direction” means the asset moved the same way the signal moved — opposite of a coin flip.