VOL. I · NO. 119 · standardpoorly.comMON · JUN 22 · 2026FORWARD HORIZON · 1 d / 1 wk / 1 mo / 3 mo
STANDARD Poorly
"All the correlations that are barely fit to print"
Almanac variant pending — disclosed-trade pages render in Terminal skin only today (the dense data shape doesn't translate cleanly into newspaper layout yet).
SP·//STANDARD POORLY · TERMINAL · /disclosed/politicians/hollowaydir B · receipt-forward[●] LIVEEDGAR FEED · PTR SYNC 0:4828·MAY·2026 · 22:36 ETtier ANALYSTK→ skin
scope · politician
HOLLOWAY, C.
R-TX · senate · 34 trades
panels
[O]overview
[T]trades34
[G]tipping6
[D]drift$
[H]hit-rate$
[R]regime$
[B]backtest$
[L]clusters[P]all politicians
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CH
SENATOR · TX · REPUBLICAN
Carter Holloway
Senate · Texas · seated 2013→ · 34 disclosed trades · 12mo
late-disclosure rate 18% (6 of 34)
vs SPY
+4.2pp
disclosed
$187K
hit rate · 3m
58%
across 34 disclosed trades 2020→ · BALANCED methodology · marked vs SPY same-window
HOLLOWAYSPYVS SPY+1.6pp
G[ tipping hall · this politician · 1 events ]
⚑ signature moment
Every public statement Holloway made between executing a trade and disclosing it that named the traded ticker. Scored by ticker prominence × sentiment alignment × proximity to disclosure. Receipts inline; community-correctable.
78/100NVDA· BUY30d before disclosure
2026-04-15 BUY · disclosed 2026-05-22 37d
2026-04-22 · CNBC · Squawk Box · bullish
AI semis are the trade of the next five years — Nvidia is the cleanest way to own it.
window clock · top event (NVDA78)
04-15
EXEC
04-22 CNBC
05-22
DISCLOSED
price drift execute→disclose +18.4% · statement fell 30d into the window
signal_score components
ticker prominenceexplicit
sentiment alignmentbullish=BUY
proximity to disclosure30d before
composite⚑78/100
T[ recent trades · free ]
datetypetickeramountfiledtipping?
26-04-15▲BNVDA$15-50K38d78/100
26-03-22▼SMSFT$50-100K22d
26-02-11▲BCVX$100-250K41d64/100
26-01-30▲BLMT$15-50K19d
25-12-18▼STSLA$1-15K44d
25-11-29▲BPANW$50-100K33d
25-10-14▲BXOM$15-50K12d
25-09-22▼SAAPL$50-100K28d
O[ portfolio vs spy · free ]
HOLLOWAYSPYVS SPY+1.6pp
[ composition ]
Tech42%
Energy24%
Financials14%
Defense10%
Other10%
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ANALYST$
drift · hit-rate · regime · sector skew · spousal split · full history
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D[ drift · hit-rate · regime ]
ANALYST 🔒🔒
Per-trade drift table, hit-rate by horizon with bootstrap CIs, VIX-regime buckets, sector skew vs SPX, spousal-account split.
> what this is not
We surface patterns + dated receipts. We never allege insider trading — that requires intent + material non-public info, which we make no claim of. Every row is sourced, reviewable, and correctable in the Audit Hall.
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