Marisol Tran · disclosed trades

Almanac variant pending — disclosed-trade pages render in Terminal skin only today (the dense data shape doesn't translate cleanly into newspaper layout yet).

SP·//STANDARD POORLY · TERMINAL · /disclosed/politicians/trandir B · receipt-forward[●] LIVEEDGAR FEED · PTR SYNC 0:4828·MAY·2026 · 22:36 ETtier ANALYSTK→ skin

scope · politician
TRAN, M.
D-CA · house · 48 trades
panels
[O]overview
[T]trades48
[G]tipping4[D]drift$
[H]hit-rate$
[R]regime$
[B]backtest$
[L]clusters[P]all politicians
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REP. · CA · DEMOCRAT

Marisol Tran

House · California · seated 2019→ · 48 disclosed trades · 12mo

late-disclosure rate 25% (12 of 48)

vs SPY

+5.1pp

disclosed

$245K

hit rate · 3m

55%

across 48 disclosed trades 2020→ · BALANCED methodology · marked vs SPY same-window

G[ tipping hall · this politician · 1 events ]
⚑ signature moment

Every public statement Tran made between executing a trade and disclosing it that named the traded ticker. Scored by ticker prominence × sentiment alignment × proximity to disclosure. Receipts inline; community-correctable.

⚑58/100EQT· BUY33d before disclosure

2026-03-04 BUY · disclosed 2026-04-21 48d late

2026-03-19 · Floor · House floor · bullish

“Domestic gas is the bridge fuel we cannot pretend away.”

open receipt →

window clock · top event (EQT ⚑58)

03-04

EXEC

03-19 Floor

04-21

DISCLOSED

price drift execute→disclose +11.2% · statement fell 33d into the window

signal_score components

ticker prominenceexplicit

sentiment alignmentbullish=BUY

proximity to disclosure33d before

composite⚑58/100

full breakdown · ANALYST 🔒 →

T[ recent trades · free ]

datetypetickeramountfiledtipping?

26-04-15▲BNVDA$15-50K38d⚑78/100

26-03-22▼SMSFT$50-100K22d—

26-02-11▲BCVX$100-250K41d⚑64/100

26-01-30▲BLMT$15-50K19d—

25-12-18▼STSLA$1-15K44d—

25-11-29▲BPANW$50-100K33d—

25-10-14▲BXOM$15-50K12d—

25-09-22▼SAAPL$50-100K28d—

full trade history (all years) · ANALYST 🔒 →

O[ portfolio vs spy · free ]

[ composition ]

Tech42%

Energy24%

Financials14%

Defense10%

Other10%

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ANALYST$

drift · hit-rate · regime · sector skew · spousal split · full history

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D[ drift · hit-rate · regime ]
ANALYST 🔒🔒

Per-trade drift table, hit-rate by horizon with bootstrap CIs, VIX-regime buckets, sector skew vs SPX, spousal-account split.

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> what this is not
We surface patterns + dated receipts. We never allege insider trading — that requires intent + material non-public info, which we make no claim of. Every row is sourced, reviewable, and correctable in the Audit Hall.

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