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Bitcoin × FOMC meeting tomorrow

When btc and fomc_meeting_eve both have unusually large moves in the same direction within 1 days of each other, the market has followed in that same direction 100% of the time over the next 180d in our 2010-2019 records (13 examples), and 100% of the time in held-out 2020+ data (10 examples). Held up both periods.

$p—cross-indicator · out-of-sample
Bitcoin × FOMC meeting tomorrow
When btc and fomc_meeting_eve both have unusually large moves in the same direction within 1 days of each other, the market has followed in that same direction 100% of the time over the next 180d in our 2010-2019 records (13 examples), and 100% of the time in held-out 2020+ data (10 examples). Held up both periods.
ReadReliable bullish pair
Val. hit rate100%
Held-out n10
standardpoorly.comas of 2026-05-06
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Bitcoin × FOMC meeting tomorrow · Standard Poorly