— Shareable card —
Bitcoin × Full Moon
When btc and full_moon_day both have unusually large moves in the same direction within 3 days of each other, the market has followed in that same direction 100% of the time over the next 252d in our 2010-2019 records (11 examples), and 89% of the time in held-out 2020+ data (9 examples). Held up both periods.
$p—cross-indicator · out-of-sample
Bitcoin × Full Moon
When btc and full_moon_day both have unusually large moves in the same direction within 3 days of each other, the market has followed in that same direction 100% of the time over the next 252d in our 2010-2019 records (11 examples), and 89% of the time in held-out 2020+ data (9 examples). Held up both periods.
ReadReliable bullish pair
Val. hit rate89%
Held-out n9
standardpoorly.comas of 2026-05-06