— Shareable card —
Bitcoin × New Moon
When btc and new_moon_day both have unusually large moves in the same direction within 1 days of each other, the market has followed in that same direction 100% of the time over the next 126d in our 2010-2019 records (9 examples), and 100% of the time in held-out 2020+ data (8 examples). Held up both periods.
$p—cross-indicator · out-of-sample
Bitcoin × New Moon
When btc and new_moon_day both have unusually large moves in the same direction within 1 days of each other, the market has followed in that same direction 100% of the time over the next 126d in our 2010-2019 records (9 examples), and 100% of the time in held-out 2020+ data (8 examples). Held up both periods.
ReadReliable bullish pair
Val. hit rate100%
Held-out n8
standardpoorly.comas of 2026-05-06