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Dallas Precipitation × US National Temperature (pop-weighted)

When dal_precip and us_national_temp both have unusually large moves in the same direction within 5 days of each other, the market has followed in that same direction 100% of the time over the next 45d in our 2010-2019 records (8 examples), and 100% of the time in held-out 2020+ data (9 examples). Held up both periods.

$p—cross-indicator · out-of-sample
Dallas Precipitation × US National Temperature (pop-weighted)
When dal_precip and us_national_temp both have unusually large moves in the same direction within 5 days of each other, the market has followed in that same direction 100% of the time over the next 45d in our 2010-2019 records (8 examples), and 100% of the time in held-out 2020+ data (9 examples). Held up both periods.
ReadReliable bullish pair
Val. hit rate100%
Held-out n9
standardpoorly.comas of 2026-05-06
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Dallas Precipitation × US National Temperature (pop-weighted) · Standard Poorly