— Metro · DC · 4 indicators —

Washington, D.C.

Kastle office occupancy for federal-government-heavy DC metro.

macro (1) —

weather (3) —

PoorlyweatherSP-5140

DC Sunshine Duration

50,353 18%vs ~6 weeks ago
Daily sunshine duration in Washington DC (seconds).
last fired 1.6 years ago

Historically, on fire days, SPY averaged +1.7% over the next year — moving in the same direction as the signal 56% of the time.

Signature window1 yr
+6.6%SPY over the 3 mo after the last fire
EXCEEDED HISTORY
51%
+0.01%
1 d
52%
+0.06%
1 wk
53%
+0.17%
1 mo
54%
+0.44%
3 mo
55%
+0.78%
6 mo
56%
+1.7%
1 yr
PoorlyweatherSP-4899

DC Precipitation

0.00 100%vs ~6 weeks ago
Daily precipitation total in Washington DC (mm).
last fired 8 weeks ago

When this fires, SPY averaged -3.6% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 62% of the time.

Signature window1 yr
−1.7%SPY 1 mo into the 1 yr window so far
EXCEEDED HISTORY
52%
−0.02%
1 d
54%
−0.10%
1 wk
57%
−0.37%
1 mo
59%
−1.0%
3 mo
60%
−1.7%
6 mo
62%
−3.6%
1 yr
PoorlyweatherSP-4708

DC Temperature

21.7 82%vs ~6 weeks ago
Mean daily temperature in Washington DC (C).
last fired 2 months ago

Historically barely better than chance over the next trading quarter.

Signature window~9 mo(cell shown is 3 mo — Analyst tier shows the precise horizon)
+1.8%SPY 1 mo into the 3 mo window so far
OPPOSITE OF HISTORY
50%
−0.02%
1 d
49%
−0.01%
1 wk
49%
−0.12%
1 mo
52%
−0.01%
3 mo
52%
−0.32%
6 mo
52%
−0.03%
1 yr
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