— Metro · IL · 5 indicators —

Chicago

Weather, air quality (Cook County), and Kastle office occupancy for the Chicago metro.

macro (1) —

weather (4) —

PoorlyweatherSP-5172

Chicago Snowfall

Daily snowfall in Chicago (cm). Industrial-disruption proxy.

When this fires, SPY averaged -6.4% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 71% of the time.

Signature window1 yr
54%
−0.04%
1 d
56%
−0.15%
1 wk
61%
−0.63%
1 mo
64%
−1.6%
3 mo
67%
−3.2%
6 mo
71%
−6.4%
1 yr
PoorlyweatherSP-4938

Chicago Precipitation

0.10 75%vs ~6 weeks ago
Daily precipitation total in Chicago (mm).
last fired 3 months ago

When this fires, SPY averaged -4.1% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 63% of the time.

Signature window1 yr
+4.9%SPY 1 mo into the 1 yr window so far
OPPOSITE OF HISTORY
54%
−0.04%
1 d
54%
−0.10%
1 wk
57%
−0.32%
1 mo
59%
−1.0%
3 mo
61%
−1.9%
6 mo
63%
−4.1%
1 yr
PoorlyweatherSP-5186

Chicago Sunshine Duration

29,096 33%vs ~6 weeks ago
Daily sunshine duration in Chicago (seconds).
last fired 8 months ago

When this fires, SPY averaged +2.1% over the next year — moving in the same direction as the signal 57% of the time.

Signature window1 yr
+1.7%SPY 3 mo into the 1 yr window so far
EXCEEDED HISTORY
52%
+0.04%
1 d
51%
+0.05%
1 wk
53%
+0.08%
1 mo
55%
+0.47%
3 mo
55%
+1.0%
6 mo
57%
+2.1%
1 yr
PoorlyweatherSP-4754

Chicago Temperature

16.1 127%vs ~6 weeks ago
Mean daily temperature in Chicago (C).
last fired 6 months ago

Historically barely better than chance over the next trading quarter.

Signature window1 yr(cell shown is 3 mo — Analyst tier shows the precise horizon)
−3.6%SPY over the 3 mo after the last fire
EXCEEDED HISTORY
49%
−0.01%
1 d
50%
−0.03%
1 wk
51%
+0.04%
1 mo
51%
−0.11%
3 mo
51%
+0.06%
6 mo
51%
−0.40%
1 yr
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