Sector · serious

Sentiment & Fear

VIX, F&G indexes, MOVE, junk spreads, recession searches.

Market psychology as a quantifiable thing. CNN Fear & Greed (a meta-composite), crypto F&G, VIX (equity vol), MOVE (rates vol), junk-bond spreads (credit fear), plus Google Trends for "recession" / "stock market crash" and Wikipedia pageviews for the same. Reddit r/wallstreetbets / r/antiwork post counts. The full panoply of "are people scared right now?" reads.
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Flagship signals

sentimentSP-0124

CNN Fear & Greed

Composite sentiment index from CNN Money.

When this fires, SPY moved in the same direction as the signal 74% of the time over the next trading week.

61%
1 d
74%
1 wk
58%
1 mo
52%
3 mo

All sentiment & fear indicators