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— Sector · serious —

Sentiment & Fear

VIX, F&G indexes, MOVE, junk spreads, recession searches.

Market psychology as a quantifiable thing. CNN Fear & Greed (a meta-composite), crypto F&G, VIX (equity vol), MOVE (rates vol), junk-bond spreads (credit fear), plus Google Trends for "recession" / "stock market crash" and Wikipedia pageviews for the same. Reddit r/wallstreetbets / r/antiwork post counts. The full panoply of "are people scared right now?" reads.
Analyst · previewYou're seeing the public read on the Sentiment & Fear sector. Analyst unlocks the full firing history for every indicator here + alerts when a roster ticker breaks out + the roster past the top 12 by market cap. Trader adds intraday quotes across the whole roster + the cross-sector co-fire matrix + the API / MCP feed.Compare tiers →
18 indicators in this sector·← All sectors·Full universe explorer →

— Flagship signals —

StandardsentimentSP-4963

CNN Fear & Greed Index (equities)

40.1Fear↓ 39%vs ~6 weeks ago
CNN's traditional-markets fear & greed composite, daily.
last fired 3 months ago

Historically, on fire days, SPY averaged +3.1% over the next trading quarter — moving in the same direction as the signal 73% of the time.

+0.91%SPY over the 1 wk after the last fire
OPPOSITE OF HISTORY
↓54%
−0.04%
1 d
↓61%
−0.26%
1 wk
↑65%
+0.77%
1 mo
↑73%
+3.1%
3 mo
↑67%
+3.8%
6 mo
50%
—
1 yr
Standardmarket_internalsSP-3780

VIX

18.9↑ 5%vs ~6 weeks ago
CBOE volatility index fear gauge.
last fired 4 months ago

When this fires, SPY averaged -2.5% over the next year — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 64% of the time.

Signature window1 yr
+18.2%SPY 3 mo into the 1 yr window so far
OPPOSITE OF HISTORY
48%
+0.00%
1 d
↓53%
+0.01%
1 wk
↓54%
−0.01%
1 mo
↓57%
−0.19%
3 mo
↓61%
−0.84%
6 mo
↓64%
−2.5%
1 yr
Standardmarket_internalsSP-4908

HYG/LQD ratio (junk vs investment grade)

0.74↑ 0%vs ~6 weeks ago
High-yield ETF over investment-grade ETF credit appetite.
last fired 1.5 years ago

Historically, on fire days, SPY averaged -3.4% over the next six months — moving in the opposite direction as the signal 62% of the time.

−7.7%SPY over the 3 mo after the last fire
EXCEEDED HISTORY
48%
−0.04%
1 d
↓55%
−0.21%
1 wk
↓57%
−0.65%
1 mo
↓60%
−1.7%
3 mo
↓62%
−3.4%
6 mo
↓60%
−6.4%
1 yr

— All sentiment & fear indicators —